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MNI GLOBAL MORNING BRIEFING: German PPI & Canadian CPI Eyed

MNI (London)

Wednesday’s key data focus points will be German PPI in the morning and Canadian CPI later in the day. Eurozone IP and US existing home sales are also noteworthy.

German Producer Prices (0700 BST)

Germany’s heavy reliance on Russian energy imports will reflect stark PPI growth, with +30.0% y/y and +2.7% m/m anticipated for March (Feb +25.9% y/y and +1.4% m/m).

With factory-gate inflation feeding into consumer goods, inflation remains on an upwards trajectory for now.

Eurozone Industrial Production (1000 BST)

Euro area aggregate IP should see a rebound in February to +0.7% m/m (Jan 0.0%) and +1.5% y/y (Jan -1.3%). February data highlights the rebound from the covid surge. It is pre-Ukraine war and is mainly significant as a benchmark for the March print.

Canadian CPI (1330 BST)

Canadian inflation is projected to reach 6.1% in the March print, up from +5.7% y/y seen in February. On the month +0.9% is anticipated (Feb: +1.0%). The BoC hiked 50bp to 1.0% on April 13 as anticipated and revised the 2022 inflation output upwards by 1.1bp to 5.3% y/y.

US Existing Home Sales (1500 BST)

March home sales are anticipated to decline further to 5.78mln from 6.02mln, the lowest since May 2021. This is underpinned by rising mortgage rates and high inflation, which continue to drag on consumer sentiment.

Canadian CPI:

Source: Statistics Canada

Today’s key policymaker appearances include the BOE’s Tom Mutton, Chicago Fed’s Charles Evans, San Francisco Fed’s Mary Daly and Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic. At 1900 BST the FOMC Beige Book is due. The ECB’s President Lagarde and Panetta will be participating in G7/G20 meetings and IMF/World Bank meetings today.

DateGMT/LocalImpactFlagCountryEvent
20/04/20222350/0850**JP Trade
19/04/20220000/2000USMinneapolis Fed's Neel Kashkari
20/04/20220600/0800**DE PPI
20/04/20220845/0945UKBOE Mutton Panelist on Central Bank Digital Currencies
20/04/20220900/1100**EU industrial production
20/04/20220900/1100*EU Trade Balance
20/04/20220900/1000**UK Gilt Outright Auction Result
20/04/20221100/0700**US MBA Weekly Applications Index
20/04/2022-EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta in IMF/World Bank Meetings
20/04/2022-EU ECB Lagarde & Panetta at G7 &G20 Finance Ministers' Meetings
20/04/20221230/0830***CA CPI
20/04/20221400/1000***US NAR existing home sales
20/04/20221430/1030**US DOE weekly crude oil stocks
20/04/20221430/1030USChicago Fed's Charles Evans
20/04/20221430/1030USSan Francisco Fed's Mary Daly
20/04/20221530/1130*US US Treasury Auction Result for Cash Management Bill
20/04/20221700/1300**US US Treasury Auction Result for 20 Year Bond
20/04/20221700/1300US Atlanta Fed's Raphael Bostic
20/04/20221800/1400US FOMC Beige Book
21/04/20222245/1045***NZ CPI inflation quarterly

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