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GoC Rally Extends, CAD Back At Bottom Of G10 FX On The Day

CANADA
  • GoCs have seen a sizeable rally over the past hour, with 2YY now just 1bp higher since retail sales (-0.4bp on the day) and 10YY -0.7bp lower (also -1bp on the day).
  • It opens sizeable outperformance with Treasuries for the second day running (Tsy 2Y +8.2bps, 10Y +5.4bps) in a reversal of significant underperformance earlier in the week both before and after CAD CPI.
  • The result is the 2Y Can-US yield spread widening back to -28bps, close to where it started the week having touched -5.5bps on Wed and seen sustained levels of -10bps for levels last seen in Sep’22.
  • Combined with WTI reversing earlier gains, it sees USDCAD push higher to session highs of 1.3519, with resistance seen at 1.3568 (May 15 high). CAD is back at the bottom of the G10 FX pack for the day.


2Y Can-US yield spreadSource: Bloomberg

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