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Free AccessGoCs Rally 8bp and USDCAD Jumps On Dovish BoC
GoC yields have fallen 7-8bps for 2-10Y tenors, 5bps for the 30Y since the BoC decision to hike 25bp but signal a pause if developments play out as expected. USDCAD off highs but currently circa 70pips higher at ~1.341 having dipped ahead of the meeting, but for the most part has remained within the week’s range. Press conference follows in 45mins.
- Broadly dovish inflation language: monthly core inflation suggests core has peaked rather than last month's statement that early indicator price pressures may be losing momentum. Short-term inflation expectations are still seen as remaining elevated but it removes the line that the longer this remains the greater the risk high inflation becomes entrenched.
- Further, within the MPR, “Slower demand growth, combined with improvements in the supply chain, lead the economy into modest excess supply in 2023.”
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.