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Free AccessGreenback Dominates Amid Global Dovish Repricing
- The greenback was among the strongest performers in G10 on Friday, and comfortably the best performer on the week amid a phase of global central bank re-pricing - particularly dovish shifts in Europe and the UK.
- Dollar strength put the USD Index back above 104.00 and within range of the mid-February multi-month highs. The USD Index is on track to form a key bullish indicator - a golden cross formation - at the close. The signal, formed when the 50-dma rises above the 200-dma, was last printed in September last year, and pre-saged a further 2% rally to the '23 high.
- A corrective pullback in GBP/USD persists, with the pair showing below the 200-dma on Friday, mirroring the build in BoE rate cut pricing since Thursday’s decision. Over 80bps of rate cuts are now priced for this calendar year, up from ~60bps at the beginning of the week. This narrows the gap with next support for GBP/USD undercuts at 1.2536, the Feb14 Low and the bear trigger at 1.2519.
- Focus in the coming week shifts away from global central banks, and is front-loaded with Good Friday keeping markets only partially open on March 29th. Nonetheless, key comms will be watched from BoE's Mann (who dropped her vote for a hike this week) and Fed's Waller on Wednesday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.