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MNI CNB Preview - June 2021: CNB To Raise Rate By 25bps

Czech National Bank

Executive Summary:

  • CNB expected to raise its benchmark rate by 0.25% to 0.5%
  • Five of the seven MPC members are likely to vote for a hike at this meeting
  • The start of a tightening cycle should limit the risk of economy overheating
  • Traders could continue to chase CZK as CNB starts raising rates
  • Uncertainty remains high in the EM market due to Delta variant
See full preview here:

MNI Czech CB Preview June 2021.pdf


The Czech National Bank is expected to raise its benchmark rate by 0.25% to 0.5% at its next meeting on June 23. Even though it was previously expected that policymakers will wait for summer inflation projections before starting a tightening cycle, the recent hawkish comments from MPC board members have moved the expectations from August to June policy meeting.

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