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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
IMF Data: Overview Of World Economic Outlook Projections
Source: International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook
Year/Year Annual percent change unless noted
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chg Vs Chg Vs
Estimate Forecast Forecast Oct WEO Oct WEO
2017 2018 2019 2018 2019
World Output 3.7 3.9 3.9 0.2 0.2
Advanced economies 2.3 2.3 2.2 0.3 0.4
U.S. 2.3 2.7 2.5 0.4 0.6
Euro area 2.4 2.2 2.0 0.3 0.3
Germany 2.5 2.3 2.0 0.5 0.5
France 1.8 1.9 1.9 0.1 0.0
Italy 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.2
Spain 3.1 2.4 2.1 -0.1 0.1
Japan 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.1
U.K. 1.7 1.5 1.5 0.0 -0.1
Canada 3.0 2.3 2.0 0.2 0.3
Other advanced economies 2.7 2.6 2.6 0.1 0.1
Emerging Market and Developing 4.7 4.9 5.0 0.0 0.0
Commonwealth,Independent States 2.2 2.2 2.1 0.1 0.0
Russia 1.8 1.7 1.5 0.1 0.0
Excluding Russia 3.1 3.4 3.5 0.1 0.0
Emerging, Developing Asia 6.5 6.5 6.6 0.0 0.1
China 6.8 6.6 6.4 0.1 0.1
India 6.7 7.4 7.8 0.0 0.0
ASEAN-5 5.3 5.3 5.3 0.1 0.0
Emergin, Developing Europe 5.2 4.0 3.8 0.5 0.5
Latin America, Caribbean 1.3 1.9 2.6 0.0 0.2
Brazil 1.1 1.9 2.1 0.4 0.1
Mexico 2.0 2.3 3.0 0.4 0.7
Middle East, N. Africa, Pakistan 2.5 3.6 3.5 0.1 0.0
Saudi Arabia -0.7 1.6 2.2 0.5 0.6
Sub-Saharan Africa 2.7 3.3 3.5 -0.1 0.1
Nigeria 0.8 2.1 1.9 0.2 0.2
South Africa 0.9 0.9 0.9 -0.2 -0.7
Low-income Developing Countries 4.7 5.2 5.3 0.0 0.1
World Growth Based on
Exchange Rates 3.2 3.3 3.2 0.2 0.2
World Trade Volume 4.7 4.6 4.4 0.6 0.5
Advanced Economies 4.1 4.3 4.2 0.6 0.7
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 5.9 5.1 4.8 0.4 0.2
Commodity Prices
Oil 23.1 11.7 -4.3 11.9 -5.0
Nonfuel 6.5 -0.5 1.0 -1.0 1.5
Consumer Prices
Advanced Economies 1.7 1.9 2.1 0.2 0.1
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 4.1 4.5 4.3 0.1 0.2
6-mo. LIBOR (percent)
U.S. dollar deposits 1.5 2.3 3.4 0.4 0.5
euro deposits (3-mo rate) -0.3 -0.3 -0.1 0.0 -0.1
Japanese yen deposits 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.2 -0.1
Estimate Forecast Forecast
4Q/4Q 4Q/4Q 4Q/4Q
2017 2018 2019
World Output 3.9 3.9 3.8
Advanced economies 2.4 2.3 2.0
U.S. 2.5 2.7 2.4
Euro area 2.4 2.1 2.0
Germany 2.8 2.1 2.1
France 2.2 1.8 1.9
Italy 1.5 1.4 0.9
Spain 3.0 2.2 2.0
Japan 2.0 0.9 -0.3
U.K. 1.3 1.5 1.5
Canada 3.0 2.2 1.9
Other advanced economies 2.7 2.5 2.9
Emerging Market and Developing 5.2 5.3 5.3
Commonwealth,Independent States 2.2 2.1 1.7
Russia 2.3 1.9 1.6
Excluding Russia NA NA NA
Developing Asia 6.8 6.5 6.5
China 6.7 6.5 6.4
India 7.9 7.4 7.8
ASEAN-5 5.4 5.4 5.3
Developing Europe 4.0 4.8 3.7
Latin America, Caribbean 2.2 2.3 2.6
Brazil 2.5 2.2 2.0
Mexico 1.4 2.9 2.8
Middle East, N. Africa, Pakistan NA NA NA
Saudi Arabia -1.4 2.5 2.2
Sub-Saharan Africa NA NA NA
Nigeria NA NA NA
South Africa 1.2 0.5 1.1
Low-income Developing Countries NA NA NA
World Growth Based on
Exchange Rates 3.3 3.3 3.0
World Trade Volumes NA NA NA
Advanced Economies NA NA NA
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries NA NA NA
Commodity Prices
Oil 19.0 -0.9 -3.9
Nonfuel 1.2 1.2 1.0
Consumer Prices
Advanced Economies 1.6 2.1 2.1
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 3.7 3.9 3.6
6-mo. LIBOR (percent)
U.S. dollar deposits NA NA NA
euro deposits (3-mo rate) NA NA NA
Japanese yen deposits NA NA NA
--MNI Washington Bureau; tel: +1 202-371-2121; email: kevin.kastner@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$B$$$,M$E$$$,M$J$$$,M$Q$$$,M$T$$$,M$U$$$,M$X$$$,MI$$$$]
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.