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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
IMF Data: Overview Of World Economic Outlook Projections
Source: International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook
Year/Year Annual percent change unless noted
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chg Vs Chg Vs
Est Fcast Fcast Jan WEO Jan WEO
2018 2019 2020 2019 2020
World Output 3.6 3.3 3.6 -0.2 0.0
Advanced economies 2.2 1.8 1.7 -0.2 0.0
U.S. 2.9 2.3 1.9 -0.2 0.1
Euro area 1.8 1.3 1.5 -0.3 -0.2
Germany 1.5 0.8 1.4 -0.5 -0.2
France 1.5 1.3 1.4 -0.2 -0.2
Italy 0.9 0.1 0.9 -0.5 0.0
Spain 2.5 2.1 1.9 -0.1 0.0
Japan 0.8 1.0 0.5 -0.1 0.0
U.K. 1.4 1.2 1.4 -0.3 -0.2
Canada 1.8 1.5 1.9 -0.4 0.0
Other advanced economies 2.6 2.2 2.5 -0.3 0.0
Emerging Market and Developing 4.5 4.4 4.8 -0.1 -0.1
Commonwealth,Independent States 2.8 2.2 2.3 0.0 0.0
Russia 2.3 1.6 1.7 0.0 0.0
Excluding Russia 3.9 3.5 3.7 -0.2 0.0
Emerging, Developing Asia 6.4 6.3 6.3 0.0 -0.1
China 6.6 6.3 6.1 0.1 -0.1
India 7.1 7.3 7.5 -0.2 -0.2
ASEAN-5 5.2 5.1 5.2 0.0 0.0
Emerging, Developing Europe 3.6 0.8 2.8 0.1 0.4
Latin America, Caribbean 1.0 1.4 2.4 -0.6 -0.1
Brazil 1.1 2.1 2.5 -0.4 0.3
Mexico 2.0 1.6 1.9 -0.5 -0.3
Middle East, N. Africa, Pakistan 1.8 1.5 3.2 -0.9 0.2
Saudi Arabia 2.2 1.8 2.1 0.0 0.0
Sub-Saharan Africa 3.0 3.5 3.7 0.0 0.1
Nigeria 1.9 2.1 2.5 0.1 0.3
South Africa 0.8 1.2 1.5 -0.2 -0.2
European Union 2.1 1.6 1.7 -0.3 -0.1
Low-income Developing Countries 4.6 5.0 5.1 -0.1 0.0
Middle East and North Africa 1.4 1.3 3.2 -0.9 0.3
World Growth Based on
Exchange Rates 3.1 2.7 2.9 -0.3 0.0
World Trade Volume 3.8 3.4 3.9 -0.6 -0.1
Imports
Advanced Economies 3.3 3.0 3.2 -1.1 -0.1
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 5.6 4.6 5.3 -0.5 -0.3
Exports
Advanced Economies 3.1 2.7 3.1 -0.2 -0.3
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 4.3 4.0 4.8 -0.5 0.0
Commodity Prices
Oil 29.4 -13.4 -0.2 0.7 0.2
Nonfuel 1.6 -0.2 1.1 2.5 -0.1
Consumer Prices
Advanced Economies 2.0 1.6 2.1 -0.1 0.1
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 4.8 4.9 4.7 -0.2 0.1
6-mo. LIBOR (percent)
U.S. dollar deposits 2.5 3.2 3.8 0.0 0.0
euro deposits (3-mo rate) -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 0.0 -0.2
Japanese yen deposits 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1
Est Fcast Fcast Est Fcast Fcast
Y/Y Y/Y Y/Y Q4/Q4 Q4/Q4 Q4/Q4
2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020
World Output 3.6 3.3 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.6
Advanced economies 2.2 1.8 1.7 2.0 1.8 1.8
U.S. 2.9 2.3 1.9 3.0 2.2 1.7
Euro area 1.8 1.3 1.5 1.1 1.6 1.4
Germany 1.5 0.8 1.4 0.6 1.4 1.3
France 1.5 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.6 1.3
Italy 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.8
Spain 2.5 2.1 1.9 2.4 1.9 1.7
Japan 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.4
U.K. 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.5
Canada 1.8 1.5 1.9 1.6 1.8 1.8
Other advanced economies 2.6 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.7
Emerging Market and Developing 4.5 4.4 4.8 4.7 4.9 5.0
Commonwealth,Independent States 2.8 2.2 2.3 3.4 1.6 2.0
Russia 2.3 1.6 1.7 3.4 1.2 1.7
Excluding Russia 3.9 3.5 3.7 NA NA NA
Emerging, Developing Asia 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3
China 6.6 6.3 6.1 6.4 6.3 6.0
India 7.1 7.3 7.5 6.8 7.2 7.6
ASEAN-5 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.3
Emerging, Developing Europe 3.6 0.8 2.8 0.7 2.1 2.9
Latin America, Caribbean 1.0 1.4 2.4 0.3 2.0 2.2
Brazil 1.1 2.1 2.5 1.1 2.8 2.2
Mexico 2.0 1.6 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.6
Middle East, N. Africa, Pakistan 1.8 1.5 3.2 NA NA NA
Saudi Arabia 2.2 1.8 2.1 4.0 1.0 2.1
Sub-Saharan Africa 3.0 3.5 3.7 NA NA NA
Nigeria 1.9 2.1 2.5 NA NA NA
South Africa 0.8 1.2 1.5 0.2 1.0 1.8
European Union 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7
Low-income Developing Countries 4.6 5.0 5.1 NA NA NA
Middle East and North Africa 1.4 1.3 3.2 NA NA NA
World Growth Based on
Exchange Rates 3.1 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8
World Trade Volume 3.8 3.4 3.9 NA NA NA
Imports
Advanced Economies 3.3 3.0 3.2 NA NA NA
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 5.6 4.6 5.3 NA NA NA
Exports
Advanced Economies 3.1 2.7 3.1 NA NA NA
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 4.3 4.0 4.8 NA NA NA
Commodity Prices
Oil 29.4 -13.4 -0.2 9.5 -7.5 -1.3
Nonfuel 1.6 -0.2 1.1 -1.9 3.6 0.9
Consumer Prices
Advanced Economies
Emrg Mkt,Developing Countries 2.0 1.6 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.9
4.8 4.9 4.7 4.3 4.0 3.9
6-mo. LIBOR (percent)
U.S. dollar deposits 2.5 3.2 3.8 NA NA NA
euro deposits (3-mo rate) -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 NA NA NA
Japanese yen deposits 0.0 0.0 0.0 NA NA NA
--MNI Washington Bureau; tel: +1 202-371-2121; email: kevin.kastner@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.