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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessInflation & Trade Figures On Tap Today
A reminder that China inflation and trade figures for September print today. Recent trends for both prints are broadly expected to be maintained.
- CPI is expected to rise further to 2.9% y/y, from 2.5% previously. All upside pressures are likely to remain in the food segment though. Non-food prices are expected to be biased lower or remain muted on the back of the softer domestic demand backdrop. Core inflation printed at 0.8% y/y last month.
- PPI pressures are forecast to moderate further, down to 1.0% y/y from 2.3% in August.
- On trade, the surplus is expected to remain healthy at $80.30bn (last $79.39bn). Export growth is forecast to slow to 4.0% y/y, from 7.1% previously. Moderating export growth would be in line with the trend seen in other NEA economies, like Taiwan and South Korea. We noted this was a risk earlier in the week (see this link for more details).
- Imports are expected to flat in y/y terms, versus 0.3% in August. China's domestic demand backdrop will be eyed, while we get a further update next Tuesday when September activity prints are due.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.