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It has been a limited session thus far for...>

AUSSIE
AUSSIE: It has been a limited session thus far for AUD/USD, sticking to a
narrow, sub-20 pip range, last virtually unchanged at $0.7360.
- The rate has been unable to capitalise on broader, albeit relatively modest
USD weakness, related to moves in Tsy yields, and has perhaps been limited by
flows in the AUD/NZD pair.
- Bulls ultimately need a break of $0.7400 to build on recent momentum, an area
which also combines the congestion zone seen in Jun-Aug and the 200-DMA which
currently comes in at $0.7416. Initial support noted at $0.7316, the technical
gap from Nov 30.
- Focus remains on the RBA MonPol decision due at the bottom of the hour. Not
much expected in terms of fireworks as the Bank confronts a backdrop of a
tightening labour market, limited inflation & wage growth, moderating house
prices in some of the major AU cities and the global trade war backdrop. All of
those surveyed expect the Bank to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50% at its
final decision of 2018. Markets currently pricing a ~70% chance of the Bank
remaining on hold through Sep 2019 according to BBG WIRP function.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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