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It is a deafening sound of silence in...>

EGB SUMMARY
EGB SUMMARY: It is a deafening sound of silence in the EGB market this morning.
Dec-17 Bunds weakened at the open, playing catch-up with the slide in late US
trading but the contract has settled into a tight range around 162.29.
- Relative to the European close, EGB curves are bear steepening from the very
long end, perhaps weighed by heavy and longer maturity supply from France and
Spain later this morning.
- Also, the market is suffering under the weight of the ECB's proximity. Around
80% of banks believe a QE announcement is due in October's with the remainder
seeing a decent chance of it happening today. Most see some kind of hint that a
taper is coming next month.
- In terms of positioning, yesterday saw considerable amounts of downside option
trades put on. Also, the Dec-17 Schatz contract underperformed swaps
considerably yesterday, which is also an 'early-taper' trade. This morning is
seeing the 2Y area of German better bid against the OIS and libor swap curves.
- On the data front, Eurozone final Q2 GDP is released at 0900GMT but Draghi's
press conference makes data redundant today.

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