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Free AccessIt is a deafening sound of silence in...>
EGB SUMMARY: It is a deafening sound of silence in the EGB market this morning.
Dec-17 Bunds weakened at the open, playing catch-up with the slide in late US
trading but the contract has settled into a tight range around 162.29.
- Relative to the European close, EGB curves are bear steepening from the very
long end, perhaps weighed by heavy and longer maturity supply from France and
Spain later this morning.
- Also, the market is suffering under the weight of the ECB's proximity. Around
80% of banks believe a QE announcement is due in October's with the remainder
seeing a decent chance of it happening today. Most see some kind of hint that a
taper is coming next month.
- In terms of positioning, yesterday saw considerable amounts of downside option
trades put on. Also, the Dec-17 Schatz contract underperformed swaps
considerably yesterday, which is also an 'early-taper' trade. This morning is
seeing the 2Y area of German better bid against the OIS and libor swap curves.
- On the data front, Eurozone final Q2 GDP is released at 0900GMT but Draghi's
press conference makes data redundant today.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.