Free Trial

US DATA: Jobless Claims Settling In To Cool But Not Weak Range

US DATA

Initial jobless claims came in on the low side in the week to Dec 14, at 220k, dropping more than the 12k expected (to 230k from 242k prior unrevised). Continuing claims also came in lower than expected for the Dec 7 week, at 1,874k (1,892k expected) from 1,879k (rev down 7k). 

  • That kept the 4-week average of initial claims at 226k, up just slightly from 224k in the prior week and 8k up from the mid-November low, but down from the high 230ks in October (which appeared hurricane-related).
  • And continuing claims have likewise steadied out in the 1,870-1,900k range since mid- October.
  • All of that is suggestive of a labor market that remains on the cool side, but without any signs of significant deterioration - conditions Fed Chair Powell alluded to in the December press conference, that afforded the FOMC more patience to see further progress on disinflation before easing to protect the labor market.

 

ClaimsDec19

 

154 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

Initial jobless claims came in on the low side in the week to Dec 14, at 220k, dropping more than the 12k expected (to 230k from 242k prior unrevised). Continuing claims also came in lower than expected for the Dec 7 week, at 1,874k (1,892k expected) from 1,879k (rev down 7k). 

  • That kept the 4-week average of initial claims at 226k, up just slightly from 224k in the prior week and 8k up from the mid-November low, but down from the high 230ks in October (which appeared hurricane-related).
  • And continuing claims have likewise steadied out in the 1,870-1,900k range since mid- October.
  • All of that is suggestive of a labor market that remains on the cool side, but without any signs of significant deterioration - conditions Fed Chair Powell alluded to in the December press conference, that afforded the FOMC more patience to see further progress on disinflation before easing to protect the labor market.

 

ClaimsDec19