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Jobs Keep Up With Rapid Labour Supply, Wage Growth Surprisingly Sticky

CANADA DATA
  • Employment growth was again stronger than expected in April, rising 41.4k (cons 20k) but was led by part-time with full-time jobs slipping -6k for the first time since August.
  • Employment strength also once again came with a similarly sized increase in labour supply (47k), going in-sync with still very strong population growth with the working age population currently +2.0% Y/Y.
  • The combination left the u/e rate unchanged (4.99% after 4.98%) vs expectations of a slight rise to 5.1%, leaving it just a tenth off July’s 4.9% low.
  • Wage growth also offered a stronger than expected outturn, holding at 5.2% Y/Y for permanent employees (cons 4.8%).
  • It leaves Gov Macklem waiting a bit longer to see a further moderation in wage growth, something he reiterated yesterday as an important requirement in order for inflation to fall the rest of the day to 2%.

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