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June Inflation Jumps to 6.3%

NORWAY
MNI (London)

NORWAY JUN CPI +0.9% M/M, +6.3% Y/Y (FCST 5.9%); MAY +5.7%

NORWAY JUN CORE CPI (CPI-ATE) +0.5% M/M, +3.6% Y/Y (FCST +3.6%); MAY +3.4% Y/Y

  • The Norwegian headline inflation beat expectations of a more mild 0.2pp uptick in June, jumping 0.6pp to +6.3% y/y.
  • This is the highest rate since 1988.
  • Notable underlying pressures were once again food and non-alcoholic beverage prices, which rose a notable 1.7% m/m, whilst the transport category continued to see the effects of soring fuel and energy prices at +3.2% m/m.
  • Core/tax change-excluded inflation (CPI-ATE) was in line with consensus, accelerating 0.2pp to 3.6% y/y, following the surprise 0.8pp increase to 3.4% y/y in May which effectively pushed Norges Bank to hastily hike 50bp at their June meeting.
  • With core inflation continuing to quicken, this underpins the need for further tightening at the next meeting.


Source: Statistics Norway

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