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Kansas Fed’s George Takes Aim At 2s10s

FED
  • Kansas Fed’s George (2022 voter) notes the need to ‘expeditiously’ raise rates to neutral, seen at circa 2.5%, and possibly higher if inflation remains elevated after more-neutral policy settings are accomplished.
  • She wants the balance sheet to decline significantly. It is seen influencing the shape of the yield curve, lowering 10Y yields by 150bps in some estimates.
  • Little else of note from the Q&A so far.
  • 2s10s have firmed 1.5bp to 3.5bps since the headlines hit, a small move in the bigger picture having been more than 15bps at the start of the week and briefly inverting yesterday.

Source: Bloomberg

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