FREELAND: CANADA WON'T ESCALATE OR BACK DOWN ON US TRADE FIGHT

MNI: PBOC To Aim To Drive Inflation Higher- Advisors

MNI: China To Issue More Bonds As Stimulus Targets Consumption

MNI: PBOC To Aim To Drive Inflation Higher- Advisors

MNI: China To Issue More Bonds As Stimulus Targets Consumption

MNI BRIEF: China Nov M1 Decline Narrows, M2 Slows

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: 8/13/28/50-Week BTF Auction on Monday

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: 4.125% Jul-29 Gilt Due on Tuesday

MNI: CANADA OCT WHOLESALE SALES +3.3%; EX-AUTOS +0.5%

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

Kremlin Ukraine Strategy Of Plausible Deniability Crystalising

US-RUSSIA
  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov are holding a phone call today. Expected to discuss the Russian response to US security proposals and the UN Security Council meeting yesterday.
  • A Russian strategy of plausible deniability has been crystalising in recent days. This strategy was highly effective in the annexation of Crimea. Moscow maintain there is no planned invasion.
  • Russia at UN demanded that the West provide proof that Russia is mobilising for an invasion of Ukraine. Say that US must demonstrate that the troop movements within the Russian Federation constitute an act of aggression towards Ukraine rather than merely routine or defensive maneuverers within Russian territory.
  • This is a highly challenging diplomatic environment. The US is in danger of being locked into period of closed doors security discussions with Russia on European security.
  • To add diplomatic strength US Sanctions on Russia are expected to pass the Senate this week and the US is gathering assurances from LNG producers to avert a European energy crisis in the event of war or sanctions.
  • Blinken must build upon the progress made last week by advancing discussions on the development of a framework of European security without appearing to concede to Russian hostility. The US must also assure NATO allies that the collective defence pact (Article 5) remains firmly in place.
USEM BulletHomepagePolitical Market NewsPolitical RiskEmerging Market NewsPolitical Risk BulletCEEMEABulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets
USEM BulletHomepagePolitical Market NewsPolitical RiskEmerging Market NewsPolitical Risk BulletCEEMEABulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.