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MNI Credit Weekly: Le Vendredi Noir
LAB Hold Widest Lead Over CON Since 2013 In Latest Poll As Truss Takes Over
The latest poll from YouGov shows the main opposition centre-left Labour Party holding a 15-point lead over incoming PM Liz Truss' centre-right Conservatives. The last time Labour held such a lead in a YouGov poll was February 2013, when the Coalition gov't of former PM David Cameron was in power.
- Latest Westminster voting intention (31 Aug - 1 Sep): Con: 28% (-3 from 23-24 Aug), Lab: 43% (+4), Lib Dem: 11% (=), Green: 6% (-1), Reform UK: 3% (-2), SNP: 5% (=)
- With Truss taking over with such low support evident for the governing party and expectations for a difficult winter with rising energy prices there is already speculation as to the potential longevity of Truss' tenure in office should polls into 2023 show a Labour majority as a strong likelihood (as the current numbers do).
- Next election not due until Dec 2024 at the latest, but May 2024 seen as a more favored time. While unlikely, a snap election in the coming months cannot be ruled out.
- Should be noted that the fieldwork for this was in late-August/early-September, before the result of the Conservative leadership contest had been announced.
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.