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Large Miss On CBI Distributive Trades

UK DATA

CBI data confirms expectations for a weakening UK consumption backdrop into year-end as distributive trades reported sales heavily missed consensus at -32 (vs -14 cons; -11 prior). The print for industry overall fell to -15 from -9 in November.

  • Gilts remain steady following release, sitting 3 ticks lower on the day at 102.75.
  • The press release notes that "sales volumes were below “average” for the time of year in December, and to a greater degree than last month". Firms expect sales to "fall well short of seasonal norms again next month".
  • "Against the backdrop of a weak sales outlook and elevated stock positions, retailers are set to continue to cut back on orders in January".
  • The data comes prior to UK November retail sales tomorrow morning, alongside the final GDP reading for Q3.

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