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Latest Poll Shows Nationals Coalition Just Able To Form Government

NEW ZEALAND

The latest 1News-Verian poll reported by RNZ is showing little change in support for the major parties ahead of the October 14 election but continued to indicate that there is likely to be a change of government to the centre-right.

  • Support for the opposition National party rose 2pp to 39% giving them an additional seat in parliament. Their likely coalition partners ACT fell 3pp to 10% following a number of scandals. The incumbent Labour party fell 1pp to 28% and the Greens -2pp to 10%. The big change is that NZ First has reached the 5% threshold and could thus win 7 seats. Te Pati Maori is steady on 3%.
  • A coalition needs 61 seats to form government. If these results are in line with election day then Nationals/ACT would just be able to govern with 62 seats down 3 from the August poll. Labour/Greens/Te Pati Maori would have only 51.
  • PM Hipkins and the Nationals Luxon are even on 23% as preferred PM.
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