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Libya Faces Challenge to Reach 2mb/d Target: Wood Mackenzie

OIL

Libya aims to almost double its crude production to 2mb/d over the next 3‒5 years investing US$4 billion a year however various obstacles may hinder the plans according to Wood Mackenzie. Libyan National Oil Corporation (NOC) is keen to keep the oil flowing and maximise state revenues.

  • The threat of shut-ins and blockades of fields, ports, pipelines and key infrastructure as never to far away as Libya remains divided.
  • Ageing infrastructure presents ongoing maintenance challenges with investment required to overhaul ageing facilities and plants.
  • Libya is conscious of the energy transition and longer-term oil demand decline, especially from Europe and has struggle to entice investment from international oil companies.
  • Investment has averaged less than US$1 billion annually since 2011 with challenges accessing funds, poor returns and long payback periods and with NOC typically taking a large share of production.
  • WoodMac to not expect NOC to achieve the target but a new oil and gas licensing round in 2024 may bring new investors.


Source: Wood Mackenzie

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