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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessLocal Analysts On Tomorrow’s Employment Report
Consensus sees total employment rising 15k in July after the surprise -43k in June, a small rise from the record low u/e rate to 5.0% (+0.1p) and further acceleration in Y/Y wage growth.
- CIBC: In line. While labour supply appeared to be a primary factor behind the last month’s weakness, this time around a muted rebound is expected to be the result of weakening demand for staff particularly in rate sensitive areas such as real estate & construction.
- RBC: In line. The small rise in u/e rate to 5.0% comes with the number of people looking for work bouncing back from a decline of almost 100k in June.
- Scotia: 35k jobs growth but u/e rate in line. Job search indicators look strong which suggests a rebound in the labour force in a reversal of the prior month’s retreat. Much of the -43k in June was in the self-employed category and wouldn’t be surprised to see a technical rebound.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.