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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
BRAZIL
The latest opinion polling from Brazil shows leftist former President Luis Inacio Lula da Silva retaining a polling lead over incumbent right-winger President Jair Bolsonaro.
- Presidential election first round FSB poll: Lula (PT): 47% (-1), Bolsonaro (PL): 36% (+1), Gomes (PDT): 9% (-1). (+/- vs. 10-12 June 2022) Fieldwork: 24-26 June 2022. Sample size: 2,000
- Brazil (Presidential election), FSB poll: Second round: Lula (PT): 58% (-2), Bolsonaro (PL): 42% (+2). (+/- vs. 10-12 June 2022). Fieldwork: 24-26 June 2022. Sample size: 2,000
- The shrinking but still sizable deficit faced by Bolsonaro in polls is unprecedented, with single-term incumbents usually leading in polls at the three-month mark before elections take place (first round on 2 Oct, second round 30 Oct).
- Political betting markets show Lula as the strong favourite to become the next president, with a 72% implied probability of winning the contest compared to 25.6% for Bolsonaro (see chart below).
Chart 1. Betting Market Implied Probability of Winning 2022 Brazilian Presidential Election, %
Source: Smarkets
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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