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Macro Since Last BoC - Labour: Mixed Signs Within Wage Measures [2/2]

CANADA
  • Wage growth remains a key issue for the BoC, which whilst as expected in January was still particularly strong.
  • All employee wage growth of 5.3% Y/Y marked a second consecutive month above the 4-5% range the Bank has previously noted, whilst permanent employees also registered 5.3% Y/Y for a seventh consecutive month at 5% or above.
  • This wage growth comes against a backdrop of a dire productivity trend, although we only find out the Q4 data a little over an hour before the rate announcement on Wednesday.
  • There has however been some conflicting, but no doubt welcome, signs of wage growth moderation in the lagged payroll employment series, with its fixed weight index slowing to just 2.4% Y/Y in December.

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