Free Trial

Micael Gapen and Pooja Sriram at Barclays......>

FOMC
FOMC: Micael Gapen and Pooja Sriram at Barclays write of the March FOMC "Gradual
normalization strikes a 'middle ground'".
- Barclays note that the average funds rate rose by 20-30bp across the
projection horizon. Plus, the Summary of Economic Projections included "Faster
growth, lower unemployment, but only a modest pickup in inflation".
- Gapen and Sriram highlight that Powell said that the link between resource
utilization is not strong and members see the Phillips curve as flat.
- Most of the revisions to dots and forecasts were in line with what Barclays
had expected but they were surprised that the median long-run policy rate was
also revised higher to 2.9%, from 2.8%.
- Other parts of the Powell press conference highlighted by Barclays were that
the balance sheet is on auto-pilot and interest rate policy will be the primary
tool to respond to changes in the outlook. Powell also mentioned that no
decision about the long-run operation framework should be expected in the near
term: RRP and IOER will remain for some time.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.