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MIDTERMS: Republicans Have Edge In Final House Races

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The GOP has achieved the requisite 218 seats for control of the House. Democrats hold 212 seats.

  • Four of the final five races to be called are leaning Republican - the Alaska-at-Large seat likely staying in the hands of Democrat incumbent Rep Mary Pelota (D-AL) after fending off former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.
  • A recount in Colorado will likely confirm that Trump ally Lauren Boebert (R-CO) has avoided a shock loss.
  • The final equation likely to hand GOP 221-222 seats (a majority of 8-9 seats). The razor thin margin will make the GOP majority vulnerable to retirements, changing personal circumstances, and health of lawmakers.
  • House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) requires a majority vote (218) from all House reps to assume the Speaker's gavel in January.
  • Rep Andy Biggs (R-AZ) who challenged McCarthy for the Speaker nomination said today: "I cannot vote for Kevin McCarthy as House Speaker. I do not believe he will ever get to 218 votes, and I refuse to assist him in his effort to get those votes."

Chart 1: Uncalled House Races (ABC News, 538)

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The GOP has achieved the requisite 218 seats for control of the House. Democrats hold 212 seats.

  • Four of the final five races to be called are leaning Republican - the Alaska-at-Large seat likely staying in the hands of Democrat incumbent Rep Mary Pelota (D-AL) after fending off former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.
  • A recount in Colorado will likely confirm that Trump ally Lauren Boebert (R-CO) has avoided a shock loss.
  • The final equation likely to hand GOP 221-222 seats (a majority of 8-9 seats). The razor thin margin will make the GOP majority vulnerable to retirements, changing personal circumstances, and health of lawmakers.
  • House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) requires a majority vote (218) from all House reps to assume the Speaker's gavel in January.
  • Rep Andy Biggs (R-AZ) who challenged McCarthy for the Speaker nomination said today: "I cannot vote for Kevin McCarthy as House Speaker. I do not believe he will ever get to 218 votes, and I refuse to assist him in his effort to get those votes."

Chart 1: Uncalled House Races (ABC News, 538)