Free Trial

MIDTERMS: Warnock Still Favoured To Retain Seat In Georgia Runoff

US

There are six days until the Georgia Senate runoff which Politico describes as “an unusually consequential individual Senate race."

  • Politico continues, if Democrat incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock (D-GA) beats Trump-endorsed Republican Herschel Walker, "it would give Democrats a firmer hand on nearly everything in the Senate, from committees to the floor, while improving the party’s defence ahead of a tough map in 2024.”
  • Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT) said, “there’s probably a bigger difference between 50 and 51 than any other two numbers in this place.”
  • Early voter turnout suggests that Georgian’s are not fatigued by a seemingly endless cycle of elections, special elections, and runoff elections. Georgia’s Deputy Secretary of State said: "This could be the biggest early voting day ever in Georgia election history.”
  • Warnock’s campaign announced yesterday that former first lady Michelle Obama will be recording robocalls for the campaign urging voters to vote early.
  • Polls show a tight race: A survey from FrederickPolls has Warnock and Walker tied at 50 percent but betting markets continue to see Warnock as firm favourite. Smarkets gives Warnock an 87% implied probability of winning the race.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.