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Mixed Fortunes For Oil And Gold

COMMODITIES
  • Crude oil prices have seen large swings on changing geopolitical headlines, but supply concerns dominate once again with ~7+% gains in crude oil prices heavily concentrated towards front-dated contracts.
  • In line with expectations, the Russian Mission in Vienna has confirmed that OPEC+ has agreed to maintain the modest production increase of 400kbpd next month despite pressure from the US to increase supply.
  • WTI is +7.1% at $110.8, having earlier cleared a further three resistance levels with the highest being $110.84 (2.5 proj of the Aug – Oct – Dec’21 price swing).
  • The most active strikes in the Apr’22 contract have been $120/bbl calls.
  • Brent is +7.8% at $113.2, through the second resistance level of $112.45 (2.382 proj of the same price swing).
  • Gold meanwhile is -1% at $1925.4, hindered by a sizeable recovery in rate hike expectations that were further boosted as Powell largely indicated policy continuation. It continues to sit well above the key short-term support of $1878.4 (Feb 24 low) needed to break to suggest a deeper pullback within the bull channel.

WTI 1st Future and Gold PriceSource: Bloomberg

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