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MNI BNM Preview - May 2022: Moving Closer To Rate Hike

Executive Summary

  • The Monetary Policy Committee of Bank Negara Malaysia meets on Wednesday and some see potential for a rate hike, even as consensus looks for no change the Overnight Policy Rate.
  • A stand-pat decision is our base-case scenario as Malaysia enjoys relatively benign inflation, while highly uncertain and challenging external environment discourages premature withdrawal of stimulus.
  • Nonetheless, a rate rise this week remains on the table after the central bank flagged that it was cognisant of the consequences of keeping interest rates low for an extended period of time.

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