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MNI BoC Review, Jul'23: Another Hike, More Data Dependency

Source: Bank of Canada

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • The BoC hiked 25bps for a second meeting to 5% as mostly expected.
  • Governor Macklem suggested a meeting-by-meeting approach ahead with an openness to hike again if necessary. It was against a backdrop of hawkish language in the statement and solid upward revisions to forecasts with a closing of the output gap kicked into 2024.
  • A softer US CPI print landing 90 minutes before the decision dominated the market reaction on the day and dragged GoC yields lower with the loonie underperforming.
  • Any renewed domestic data strength could well see a large sell-off considering, but with almost two months before the September decision. June CPI provides the first test, landing on Tuesday.

PLEASE FIND THE FULL REPORT HERE:

BOCReviewJul2023.pdf

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