Free Trial

MNI BRIEF: ECB May Need To Act "More Forcefully"-Schnabel

(MNI) LONDON

The European Central Bank is still “very far” from claiming victory on inflation, Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said in an interview Friday, adding that a broad disinflation process has “not even started” in the euro area.

A rate hike of 50bps in March - when the ECB could give an "idea about the direction of travel" - is necessary under virtually all scenarios, Schnabel said, adding that she would need proof policy was becoming restrictive via lending, labour markets and aggregate demand before voting to reduce the pace of tightening to 25bps in May. Demand may be less sensitive to changes in interest rates, she said, adding “we may have to act more forcefully if transmission turns out to be weaker.”

Wage increases will be key to determining the path of underlying inflation over the medium-term, Schnabel said, and are expected to be in the region of 4 to 5% over the next few years.


MNI London Bureau | +44 20 3983 7894 | luke.heighton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 20 3983 7894 | luke.heighton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.