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MNI BRIEF: Fed's CIE Inflation Expectations Highest On Record

(MNI) WASHINGTON

The Federal Reserve Board's Index of Common Inflation Expectations, an internal gauge of longer run inflation expectations constructed from two dozen other indicators, edged up to 2.19% in the second quarter, the highest on record.

The CIE Index rose 0.02pp from the prior quarter. The series goes back to 1999, and the index combines market and survey measures into a single view of how households and businesses expect prices to behave over the next decade.

An alternative CIE index, projected onto Michigan's survey of consumers expectations over the next 5-10 years was up 0.06pp to 3.13% from the first quarter, and the highest since the record high set June 2008 at 3.16%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited the CIE index as one reason for the supersized 75bp rate hike in June.

Source: Federal Reserve Board

MNI Washington Bureau | +1 202-371-2121 | evan.ryser@marketnews.com
MNI Washington Bureau | +1 202-371-2121 | evan.ryser@marketnews.com

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