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Free AccessMNI: Canada June Jobs -43.2K, Unemployment at New Low Of 4.9%
Canadian employment unexpectedly fell by 43,200 in June as people left the labor force, a shift that lowered the jobless rate to a fresh record low of 4.9%, the government statistics office said Friday.
The job decline compares with the economist consensus for a gain of 25,000, though some had warned the overheated labor market would face a reversal as companies struggled to keep staff. The fall in the unemployment rate was also unexpected, with economists predicting it would remain 5.1%, which was already the lowest in records back to 1976.
More important for a Bank of Canada weighing a 75 basis point rate increase on Wednesday, wage gains kept climbing beyond the 2% inflation target. Average hourly wages for all employees, the measure tracked by policy makers, rose 5.2% in June from a year ago, up from 3.9% in May and April's 3.3% pace. Statistics Canada also said wages for permanent workers rose 5.6%.
Hours worked, sometimes viewed as a proxy for GDP, rose 1.3%, the first gain since March.
Governor Tiff Macklem has said curbing inflation is his number one goal and policymakers can be forceful if needed, and reaching a soft landing is made easier by a very strong job market.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.