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MNI China Daily Summary: Monday, August 12

     POLICY: Maintaining reasonable growth in real estate investment doesn't
mean China intends to stimulate the property market, Sheng Songcheng, former
director of the Survey and Statistics Division of the People's Bank of China
(PBOC), wrote in an article in the China Business News. China must resolutely
stick to the principle of "housing is for living, not for speculating," Sheng
said. Housing prices are generally stable and a small decline won't have large
impact on growth, he said. It should create a stable expectation for prices,
which can help to smoothen market volatility, stabilize land prices, reduce
profit margins of speculation, and curb market speculation, he said.
     DATA: China's M2 expanded 8.1% y/y in July, the slowest in five months and
followed 8.5% in June. It was below 8.4% projected by an MNI survey. New loans
totalled CNY1.06 trillion, down from CNY1.66 trillion in June and was the least
in three months, missing the MNI projection of CNY1.3 trillion. Aggregate
financing to the economy rose CNY1.01 trillion from June's CNY2.26 trillion,
compared with the CNY1.5 trillion projection, hitting the lowest level in five
months since February.
     LIQUIDITY: The PBOC injected CNY30 billion via 7-day reverse repos,
resulting in a net injection of CNY30 billion as no reverse repos matured,
according to Wind Information. The reverse repo rate was kept unchanged at
2.55%, according to the PBOC's OMO trading announcement.
     RATES: The 7-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository
institutions (DR007) rose to 2.6614% from Friday's close of 2.6273%, Wind
Information showed. The overnight repo average increased to 2.6345% from
Friday's 2.5967%.
     YUAN: The yuan closed at 7.0679 against the U.S. dollar from Friday's close
of 7.0520. The PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate above the 7 level
for a third trading day at 7.0211, compared with 7.0136 set last Friday.
     BONDS: The yield on the 10-year China Government Bond was last at 3.0300%,
up from Friday's close of 3.0200%, according to Wind Information.
     STOCKS: The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.45% to 2,814.99. Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index decreased 0.44% to 25,824.72.
     FROM THE PRESS: Allowing the yuan exchange rate to break the
psychologically important level of 7 against the U.S. dollar sends a clear
signal that currency fluctuation is not a decisive factor in China's monetary
policy, the China Securities Journal said in a front-page report. It is less
likely that China will adjust its monetary policy now that the yuan has released
some depreciation pressure, and while the bond spreads between China and other
countries remain large, the newspaper said.
     The PBOC needs not to follow interest rate cuts by other central banks
because its monetary policy is focused on the domestic economy, according to a
report in the Securities Daily. The PBOC is more likely to selectively reduce
the reserve requirement ratios than cutting rates, the newspaper said citing
analysts.
     China is expected to gradually replace the lending benchmark interest rate
with the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), the China Securities Journal reported citing
analysts. The comments followed the PBOC's Q2 monetary policy report, which said
that the LPR should play a leading role in the formation of real interest rates.
This requires the LPR mechanism to be further improved, and hence the one-year
LPR is likely to decline in the near term after stabilizing at 4.31% for more
than 16 months, the newspaper said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]

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