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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, July 25
TOP NEWS: China is taking more aggressive action to stimulate its economy,
currently under threat from a broad domestic credit shrinkage and slowing
investment. "Pressure within the country is even bigger than the ones coming
from outside, so some previous measures, such as tough financial regulations,
must yield to economic growth first," a source close to top policymakers told
MNI. "All in all, we won't allow growth to fall much from the targeted 6.5%,"
said the source.
LIQUIDITY: A net drain of CNY60 billion was resulted on Wednesday due to
the maturity of reverse repos. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) didn't conduct
open market operations (OMO) citing relatively high liquidity. CFETS-ICAP's
money-market sentiment index was 37 on Tuesday, unchanged from Monday.
MONEY MARKET RATES: Benchmark 7-day deposit repo average rose to 2.6559%
from 2.6274% on Tuesday; Overnight average decreased to 2.5616% from 2.5650% on
Thursday: Wind Information.
YUAN: The yuan strengthened to 6.7930 against the U.S. dollar from
Tuesday's 6.8100 closing, following today's weaker fixing. The PBOC set the yuan
central parity rate at 6.8040 compared with Tuesday's 6.7891, marking the lowest
since June 28 last year. USDCNH trades near its daily low at 6.7825 amid a broad
based rally in Asian FX. The broader uptrend remains in play but a close below
yesterday's low of 6.7905 would make a strong case for a reversal, with the
6.7600 area the next obstacle for the bears. With China increasingly turning to
fiscal stimulus to help support its economy, the fundamental outlook remains
yuan bearish.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.5450%, down from the previous close of 3.5650%, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: Shares in Shanghai edged lower after three days of gains. Shanghai
Composite Index closed down 0.07% to 2903.65. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose
1.02% to 28,955.97.
FROM THE PRESS: Infrastructure investment is expected to rebound in the
second half after Premier Li Keqiang called for "more active" fiscal policy and
the further enhancement of financing channels, China Securities Journal
reported. The funding liquidity of infrastructure projects will improve as the
new asset management rules eased the restrictions on non-standard assets, the
newspaper said. However, China's economic growth is transforming to consumption-
and innovation-driven, and it won't rely on infrastructure investment, the Daily
added. Infrastructure investment should shift its focus from quantity to
quality, improving investment structure and efficiency, the daily said.
The growth of social financing will be consistent with nominal GDP and not
likely to rebound sharply as Premier Li Keqiang reiterated that China will not
adopt strong stimulus, said Financial News, an official PBOC publication. China
should lower its consumption tax and structural tax for enterprises to echo
Premier Li's call for "more active" fiscal policy, said Li Jianjun, an expert in
international finance, according to the newspaper. Monetary policy should strike
a balance between easing and tightening, strengthen the support for small- and
micro-sized enterprises and lead funds into industries that promote China's
economic transformation, Li said, according to the newspaper.
The depreciation of the yuan is a reflection of both internal and external
uncertainties and the imbalance between supply and demand, China Securities
Journal reported, citing institutions including Citic Securities. June's
disappointing economic data and the expectation of looser monetary policy added
pressure on the yuan amid the trade tensions, the newspaper said, citing Ming
Ming, chief analyst of Citic Securities. However, the yuan is not likely to fall
significantly as depreciation pressure eases, the newspaper said, citing GF
Securities.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: sherry.qin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.