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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, May 23
EXCLUSIVE: China's most urgent task for interest rate reform is to clarify
the policy rate that can effectively guide financial markets, Ma Jun, former
chief economist of the People's Bank of China, told MNI in an exclusive
interview. "There are too many 'quasi-policy' rates resembling roles of policy
rates including various repo rates, rates of Standing Lending Facility(SLF),
Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and Pledged Supplementary Lending (PSL), in
addition to the traditional benchmark lending and deposit rates. This may
confuse the market," said Ma. Too many "quasi-policy" rates could lead the
market to misunderstand policy signals, distort market expectations and even the
yield curves, said Ma, who is now director of the Center for Finance and
Development at Tsinghua University, one of China's top think tanks.
EXCLUSIVE: China's currency may receive a boost after more
renminbi-denominated bonds are included in three major global indexes in the
near future, Ma Jun, former chief economist of the People's Bank of China, told
MNI in an exclusive interview. That may be a timely welcome for the market as
concerns grow that the country's shrinking current account surplus may weaken
the value of its currency, said Ma. Becoming part of the global bond indexes
recognizes the value and risk controls of Chinese bond, boosting investors
confidence. Many investments are automatically allocated according to the makeup
of the indexes. "It will effectively boost the yuan and offset the impact of the
narrowing current account surplus," said Ma.
POLICY: China will cut import taxes on vehicles to 15% from 20-25%, and on
auto parts to 6% from 8-25%, effective on July 1, according to the Ministry of
Finance.
LIQUIDITY: PBOC injected CNY80 and CNY70 billion in 7-day and 14-day
reverse repos on Wednesday, respectively, with rates unchanged at 2.55% and
2.70%, as the fiscal spending nearing month-end will cushion the impact of
reverse repos to some extent, the central bank said on its website. This
resulted in a net drain of CNY30 billion as a total of CNY180 billion in reverse
repos matured today. CFETS-ICAP's money-market sentiment index closed at 36 on
Tuesday, down from 38 on Monday.
MONEY MARKET RATES: 7-day repo average decreased to 2.6842% from 2.6989%
Tuesday, after the PBOC net drain CNY30 billion via OMO. The overnight repo
average increased to 2.5171% from Tuesday's 2.5149%.
YUAN: The yuan fell to 6.3822 against the U.S. dollar from Tuesday's
closing of 6.3709. Earlier today, The People's Bank of China set the yuan
central parity rate at 6.3773 Wednesday, stronger than Tuesday's 6.3799, the
second consecutive trading day the PBOC has set the parity stronger.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.6600%, up from the previous close of 3.6550%, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: Shares declined in Shanghai, led lower by coal miners as the
government required companies to lower coal prices, with Yanzhou Coal Mining
Company down by close to the daily-limit 10%. The benchmark Shanghai Composite
Index closed 1.41% lower at 3,168.96. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index lost 1.33% to
30,820.43.
FROM THE PRESS: U.S. President Donald Trump said the U.S. government has
not reached any consensus with the Chinese government regarding the ZTE issues,
China Central Television reported. Trump said he's not satisfied with the
negations last week in Washington led by Chinese Vice Premier Liu He and U.S.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. Trump said he hopes the trade talks in the
following days will advance quickly. Trump said he may require ZTE to pay a
penalty of up to $1.3 billion and replace managers, while very strict national
security requirements would be imposed on the Chinese tech giant, according to
state media.
A total of 300 credit bonds have been cancelled so far this year as the
high level of issuance last year has reduced capital available for the sector,
21st Century Business Herald reported. The cancelled value of bond issuance
reached CNY183.5 billion, the newspaper said, partly due to the CNY2.35 trillion
credit bond issuance ytd last year. New WMP rules tightening regulation on
regulatory arbitrage has forced companies to transfer their non-standard and
illegal financing to the bond market, thus related credit risks have been
transferred to the bond market, the newspaper said, citing an unidentified
fixed-income analyst. As credit bonds expand, more bond defaults could happen,
the newspaper said, citing the fixed-income analyst.
The PBOC-led newly issued rules regarding improving China's modern
financial system before 2020 stressed the country should control and tackle
short- and medium-term financial risks, Caixin reported. The document stressed
controlling risks in the bond market and monitoring high-leveraged companies
should be strengthened, according to Caixin. According to Caixin, key tasks
before 2020 also include: strictly preventing liquidity risks; resolving issues
of banks' bad assets and local government invisible debt; preventing a property
bubble from triggering financial risks; preventing large fluctuations in the
stock market and excessive speculation on the futures market; and controlling
cross-border capital flow risks.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
--MNI Singapore Bureau; +65 8233 2326; email: Asia-Editor@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.