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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Inflation Data Back in Focus

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing Nov 14

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
13/11/20230900/1700***OctCNM2 YTD y/y (release tba)10.310.3%
13/11/20230900/1700***OctCNNew Loans (release tba)2.310.66CNY (t)
13/11/20230900/1700***OctCNSocial Financing (release tba)4.121.95CNY (t)
13/11/20231600/1100**NovUSNY Fed 1y Cons Infl Exp (med)3.7--%
13/11/20231600/1100**NovUSNY Fed 3y Cons Infl Exp (med)3.0--%
13/11/20231600/1100**NovUSNY Fed 5y Cons Infl Exp (med)2.8--%
13/11/20231630/1130*17-NovUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/11/20231630/1130*17-NovUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/11/20231900/1400**OctUSTreasury Budget Balance----USD (b)
14/11/20230700/0800***OctSECPIF y/y4.04.4%
14/11/20230800/0900***OctESHICP (f) m/m0.60.3%
14/11/20230800/0900***OctESHICP (f) y/y3.33.5%
14/11/20231000/1100***Q3EUGDP (p) q/q-0.1-0.1%
14/11/20231000/1100***Q3EUGDP (p) y/y0.10.1%
14/11/20231000/1100*Q3EUEmployment q/q0.2--%
14/11/20231000/1100*Q3EUEmployment y/y1.3--%
14/11/20231000/1100***NovDEZEW Current Conditions Index-79.9-76.9
14/11/20231000/1100***NovDEZEW Expectations Index-1.15.0
14/11/20231100/0600**OctUSNFIB Small Business Index90.8--
14/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m (1 dp)0.30.3%
14/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m (3 dp)----%
14/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)4.14.1%
14/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCPI m/m (1 dp)0.40.1%
14/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCPI m/m (3 dp)----%
14/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCPI y/y (nsa)3.73.3%
14/11/20231355/0855**11-NovUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)3.1--%
14/11/20231355/0855**11-NovUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)3.1--%
14/11/20231630/1130*17-NovUSBid to Cover Ratio----
15/11/20230200/1000***ytdCNUrban Fixed-Asset Investment y/y3.13.1%
15/11/20230200/1000***OctCNRetail Sales y/y5.57.0%
15/11/20230200/1000***OctCNIndustrial Output y/y4.54.5%
15/11/20230200/1000**OctCNSurveyed Unemployment Rate m/m5.05.0%
15/11/20230700/0700***OctUKCPI m/m0.50.1%
15/11/20230700/0700***OctUKCPI y/y6.74.7%
15/11/20230700/0700***OctUKCore CPI y/y6.15.7%
15/11/20230700/0700***OctUKPPI Input y/y-2.6-3.3%
15/11/20230700/0700***OctUKPPI Output y/y-0.1-1.0%
15/11/20230745/0845***OctFRCPI (f) m/m-0.5--%
15/11/20230745/0845***OctFRCPI (f) y/y4.9--%
15/11/20230745/0845***OctFRHICP (f) m/m-0.6--%
15/11/20230745/0845***OctFRHICP (f) y/y5.7--%
15/11/20230900/1000**OctITItaly Final HICP m/m1.7--%
15/11/20230900/1000**OctITItaly Final HICP y/y5.6--%
15/11/20231000/1100**SepEUIndustrial Production m/m0.6--%
15/11/20231000/1100**SepEUIndustrial Production y/y wda-5.1--%
15/11/20231000/1100*SepEUTrade Balance11.9--E (b)
15/11/20231200/0700**10-NovUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w2.5--%
15/11/20231330/0830**SepCAManufacturing Sales0.7--%
15/11/20231330/0830**SepCAWholesale Sales2.3--%
15/11/20231330/0830***OctUSRetail Sales (control group) m/m0.60.2%
15/11/20231330/0830***OctUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m0.6-0.2%
15/11/20231330/0830***OctUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.60.2%
15/11/20231330/0830***OctUSRetail Sales m/m0.7-0.3%
15/11/20231330/0830***OctUSFinal Demand PPI m/m0.50.1%
15/11/20231330/0830***OctUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.2--%
15/11/20231330/0830***OctUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m0.30.3%
15/11/20231330/0830**NovUSEmpire Manufacturing Index-4.6-2.1
15/11/20231400/0900*OctCACREA Existing Home Sales Monthly---- (k)
15/11/20231500/1000*SepUSBusiness Inventories m/m0.40.4%
15/11/20231530/1030**10-NovUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
15/11/20231530/1030**10-NovUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
15/11/20231530/1030**10-NovUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
16/11/20231315/0815**OctCACMHC Housing Starts270.5-- (k)
16/11/20231330/0830***11-NovUSContinuing Claims1834-- (k)
16/11/20231330/0830***11-NovUSInitial Jobless Claims217-- (k)
16/11/20231330/0830***11-NovUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
16/11/20231330/0830***11-NovUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
16/11/20231330/0830**09-NovUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
16/11/20231330/0830**09-NovUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
16/11/20231330/0830**09-NovUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
16/11/20231330/0830**09-NovUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
16/11/20231330/0830**09-NovUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
16/11/20231330/0830**09-NovUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
16/11/20231330/0830**OctUSExports Price Index m/m0.7--%
16/11/20231330/0830**OctUSImports Price Index m/m0.1-0.3%
16/11/20231330/0830**NovUSPhiladelphia Fed Mfg Index-9--
16/11/20231415/0915***OctUSCapacity Utilization79.779.4%
16/11/20231415/0915***OctUSIndustrial Production m/m0.3-0.4%
16/11/20231415/0915***OctUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised----%
16/11/20231415/0915***OctUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised----%
16/11/20231500/1000**NovUSNAHB Home Builder Index4040
16/11/20231530/1030**10-NovUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
16/11/20231600/1100**NovUSKansas City Fed Mfg Index-8--
16/11/20232100/1600**SepUSLong Term TICS Flows63.5--USD (b)
16/11/20232100/1600**SepUSNet TICS Flows134.4--USD (b)
17/11/20230700/0700***OctUKRetail Sales m/m-0.90.3%
17/11/20230700/0700***OctUKRetail Sales y/y-1.0-1.5%
17/11/20230700/0700***OctUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m-1.00.5%
17/11/20230700/0700***OctUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) y/y-1.2-1.5%
17/11/20230700/0800**OctSEUnemployment Rate7.7--%
17/11/20230900/1000**SepEUEZ Current Acc27.7--E (b)
17/11/20231000/1100***OctEUHICP (f) m/m0.30.1%
17/11/20231000/1100***OctEUHICP (f) y/y4.32.9%
17/11/20231000/1100***OctEUHICP Core (f) m/m0.2--%
17/11/20231000/1100***OctEUHICP Core (f) y/y4.54.2%
17/11/20231330/0830*OctCAIndustrial Product Prices m/m0.4--%
17/11/20231330/0830*OctCARaw Material Prices m/m3.5--%
17/11/20231330/0830*SepCAIntl Securities Transactions-8.47--CAD (b)
17/11/20231330/0830***OctUSBuilding Permits1.4731.450 (m)
17/11/20231330/0830***OctUSBuilding Permits Revised---- (m)
17/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCompletions1.453-- (m)
17/11/20231330/0830***OctUSCompletions Revised---- (m)
17/11/20231330/0830***OctUSHousing Starts1.3581.350 (m)
17/11/20231330/0830***OctUSHousing Starts Revised---- (m)
17/11/20231500/1000*Q3USService Revenue1.5--%
17/11/20231800/1300**17-NovUSBaker Hughes Canada Gas Rig Count----
17/11/20231800/1300**17-NovUSBaker Hughes Canada Oil Rig Count----
17/11/20231800/1300**17-NovUSBaker Hughes Canada Rig Count----
17/11/20231800/1300**17-NovUSBaker Hughes US Gas Rig Count----
17/11/20231800/1300**17-NovUSBaker Hughes US Oil Rig Count----
17/11/20231800/1300**17-NovUSBaker Hughes US Rig Count----
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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