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MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due this week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median          Previous
Thu, Aug 30  0850/2350        Retail Sales    July      1.2  % y/y        1.7
Fri, Aug 31  0830/2330      Tokyo Core CPI     Aug      0.8  % y/y        0.8
Fri, Aug 31  0830/2330   Unemployment Rate    July      2.4      %        2.4
Fri, Aug 31  0850/2350   Industrial Output    July      0.3  % m/m       -1.8
Preliminary Retail Sales
                                         Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                   1.2
High Forecast                                     1.9
Low Forecast                                      0.7
Previous Month                                    1.7
Standard Deviation                                0.4
No. of Responses                                    9
                                         Change y/y %
Mizuho Research Institute                         1.9
Nomura Securities                                 1.8
Japan Research Institute                          1.7
NLI Research Institute                            1.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  1.2
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  1.0
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    1.0
Hamagin Research Institute                        0.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            0.7
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
                                              Tokyo % y/y
Median Forecast                                       0.8
High Forecast                                         0.9
Low Forecast                                          0.7
Previous Month                                        0.8
Standard Deviation                                    0.1
No. of Responses                                       12
                                              Tokyo % y/y
Mizuho Research Institute                             0.9
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                        0.9
Norinchukin Research Institute                        0.9
Hamagin Research Institute                            0.8
Japan Research Institute                              0.8
Nomura Securities                                     0.8
SMBC Nikko Securities                                 0.8
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                      0.8
BNP Paribas                                           0.7
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                      0.7
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                0.7
NLI Research Institute                                0.7
Unemployment Rate (Seasonally Adjusted)
Median Forecast                          2.4
High Forecast                            2.5
Low Forecast                             2.3
Previous Month                           2.4
Standard Deviation                       0.1
No. of Responses                          13
NLI Research Institute                   2.5
SMBC Nikko Securities                    2.5
BNP Paribas                              2.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute         2.4
Daiwa Institute of Research              2.4
Japan Research Institute                 2.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting   2.4
Mizuho Research Institute                2.4
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities           2.4
Hamagin Research Institute               2.3
Nomura Securities                        2.3
Norinchukin Research Institute           2.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management         2.3
Preliminary Industrial Production
                                         Change m/m %
Median Forecast                                   0.3
High Forecast                                     1.1
Low Forecast                                     -0.6
Previous Month                                   -1.8
Standard Deviation                                0.4
No. of Responses                                   13
                                         Change m/m %
Mizuho Research Institute                         1.1
Hamagin Research Institute                        0.6
Japan Research Institute                          0.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            0.5
SMBC Nikko Securities                             0.5
BNP Paribas                                       0.3
Daiwa Institute of Research                       0.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  0.2
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    0.1
Norinchukin Research Institute                    0.1
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                 -0.1
NLI Research Institute                           -0.3
Nomura Securities                                -0.6
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email:

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