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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan March Machinery Orders,April Trade, CPI

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in this week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed, May 22  0850/2350   Machinery  Orders     Mar      0.0    % m/m        1.8
Wed, May 22  0850/2350             Exports     Apr     -1.5    % y/y       -2.4
Wed, May 22  0850/2350             Imports     Apr      4.8    % y/y        1.2
Wed, May 22  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Apr    221.9  bln yen      527.8
Fri, May 24  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Apr      0.9    % y/y        0.8
Core Private-Sector Machinery Orders
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change m/m %
Median Forecast                                   0.0
High Forecast                                     2.3
Low Forecast                                     -5.0
Previous Month                                    1.8
Standard Deviation                                2.1
No. of Responses                                   13
                                         Change m/m %
Hamagin Research Institute                        2.3
SMBC Nikko Securities                             1.1
Japan Research Institute                          1.0
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            0.4
Norinchukin Research Institute                    0.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    0.2
Nomura Securities                                 0.0
BNP Paribas                                      -1.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                 -1.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                      -2.8
Mizuho Research Institute                        -3.0
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                 -3.1
NLI Research Institute                           -5.0
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                              -1.5       4.8          221.9
High Forecast                                 0.1       8.2          286.1
Low Forecast                                 -4.9       2.6           96.1
Previous Month                               -2.4       1.2          527.8
Standard Deviation                            1.2       1.4           63.4
No. of Responses                               12        12             13
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                   N/A       N/A          221.9
Daiwa Institute of Research                   0.1       8.2          119.3
Hamagin Research Institute                   -0.6       4.7          286.1
NLI Research Institute                       -0.9       4.5          276.4
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management             -1.4       6.0          150.0
Nomura Securities                            -1.4       4.8          226.3
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities               -1.4       4.5          250.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute             -1.5       6.0          146.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting       -1.8       4.2          236.5
SMBC Nikko Securities                        -1.9       5.0          184.5
Norinchukin Research Institute               -2.0       4.0          236.5
Mizuho Research Institute                    -2.6       5.6           96.1
Japan Research Institute                     -4.9       2.6          123.0
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.9
High Forecast                                            1.0
Low Forecast                                             0.8
Previous Month                                           0.8
Standard Deviation                                       0.0
No. of Responses                                          13
                                              National % y/y
Japan Research Institute                                 1.0
BNP Paribas                                              0.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.9
Hamagin Research Institute                               0.9
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.9
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.9
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.9
NLI Research Institute                                   0.9
Nomura Securities                                        0.9
Norinchukin Research Institute                           0.9
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.9
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.9
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.8
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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