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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan March Trade Statistics, CPI

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts from MNI's economist
survey for key Japanese data due in the coming week.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon, Apr 20  0850/2350             Exports     Mar     -9.8    % y/y       -1.0
Mon, Apr 20  0850/2350             Imports     Mar     -9.6    % y/y      -13.9
Mon, Apr 20  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Mar    419.7  bln yen     1108.8
Fri, Apr 24  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Mar      0.4    % y/y        0.6
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                              -9.8      -9.6          419.7
High Forecast                                -5.9      -3.8          635.0
Low Forecast                                -30.5     -27.1          130.0
Previous Month                               -1.0     -13.9        1,108.8
Standard Deviation                            6.5       5.7          153.5
No. of Responses                               12        12             12
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Nomura Securities                            -5.9      -3.8          345.8
BNP Paribas                                  -6.0      -8.2          635.0
Japan Research Institute                     -8.0     -10.1          613.1
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities               -8.6      -9.2          510.0
Daiwa Institute of Research                  -8.9      -7.6          384.8
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute             -9.5      -8.0          367.9
SMBC Nikko Securities                       -10.1      -9.9          454.6
Shinkinchuo Kinko                           -10.6      -8.9          350.0
Norinchukin Research Institute              -11.0     -12.0          527.2
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting      -11.8     -13.2          550.0
NLI Research Institute                      -14.1     -11.1          220.4
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management            -30.5     -27.1          130.0
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.4
High Forecast                                            0.5
Low Forecast                                             0.3
Previous Month                                           0.6
Standard Deviation                                       0.0
No. of Responses                                          12
                                              National % y/y
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.5
BNP Paribas                                              0.4
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.4
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.4
Japan Research Institute                                 0.4
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.4
NLI Research Institute                                   0.4
Nomura Securities                                        0.4
Norinchukin Research Institute                           0.4
Shinkinchuo Kinko                                        0.4
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.4
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.3
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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