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Free AccessMNI ASIA OPEN: Weak 30Y Reopen, ECB Forward Guidance Weighing
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MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
8 June 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Please click on this link to access MNI's daily Dollar-Asia FX Technical
Analysis Pdf http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Above Sgd1.3368 To Gain Breathing Room
*RES 4: Sgd1.3449 - 55-WMA
*RES 3: Sgd1.3417 - Low May 29 now resistance
*RES 2: Sgd1.3389 - 21-DMA
*RES 1: Sgd1.3368 - High June 5
*PRICE: Sgd1.3338 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3285 - Low May 4
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3271 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3224 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3197 - High Apr 6 now support
*COMMENTARY: Bears take comfort in closes below the 200-DMA (Sgd1.3356) with
initial focus currently on the Sgd1.3197-1.3285 region where 55 &100-DMAs are
located. Bulls need a close above Sgd1.3368 to gain breathing room and above
Sgd1.3417 to return focus to Sgd1.3497-1.3538. Bears now look for a close below
Sgd1.3197 to confirm breaks of 55 & 100-DMAs and to return focus to tests of
2018 lows.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Above 55-DMA To Gain Breathing Room
*RES 4: Krw1088.8 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: Krw1087.6 - High Mar 1
*RES 2: Krw1086.7 - High May 21
*RES 1: Krw1071.4 - 55-DMA
*PRICE: Krw1071.0 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1063.3 - Low May 10, Bollinger band base
*SUP 2: Krw1058.7 - Low Apr 19
*SUP 3: Krw1052.0 - 2018 Low Apr 2
*SUP 4: Krw1045.6 - Monthly Low Oct 29 2014
*COMMENTARY: Bears take comfort in closes below the 55-DMA with immediate
bearish focus on Krw1063.3 and a close below this level needed to initially
target 2018 lows (Krw1052.0). Bulls continue to look for a close above the
55-DMA to gain breathing room and return focus to Krw1086.7-1088.8 where the
200-DMA is located. The Bollinger base is the key concern for bears with
potential to limit follow through.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Myr3.9620 Support Remains Key
*RES 4: Myr4.0450 - Monthly Low Dec 5 now resistance
*RES 3: Myr4.0260 - High Jan 3
*RES 2: Myr4.0089 - 200-WMA
*RES 1: Myr3.9930 - High May 30
*PRICE: Myr3.9750 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr3.9700 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Myr3.9620 - Low May 22
*SUP 3: Myr3.9400 - Low May 14
*SUP 4: Myr3.9250 - High Mar 16 now support
*COMMENTARY: A lack of topside follow through on last week's 2018 highs has seen
the pair drift back to find support around the 21-DMA. Bears need a close below
Myr3.9620 to confirm a break of the 21-DMA, easing bullish pressure, and below
the 100-DMA (Myr3.9167) to hint at a move back to 2018 lows. Bulls now look for
a close above Myr3.9930 to reconfirm focus on Myr4.0089-4.0312 where 200-DMA and
WMAs are noted.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Below Cnh6.3642 Targets 55 & 100-DMAs
*RES 4: Cnh6.4550 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: Cnh6.4475 - High Jan 16
*RES 2: Cnh6.4322 - High May 30
*RES 1: Cnh6.4179 - High June 4
*PRICE: Cnh6.3891 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.3778 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Cnh6.3642 - High May 22 now support
*SUP 3: Cnh6.3297 - 21-WMA
*SUP 4: Cnh6.3277 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Pressure returned to the 21-DMA with the rally having stalled ahead
of the 200-DMA for now. Bears now look for a close below Cnh6.3642 to confirm a
break of the 21-DMA and to shift initial focus back to 6.3277-3303 where 55 &
100-DMAs and the 21-WMA are located. Bulls now need a close above Cnh6.4322 to
reconfirm focus on 200-DMA and WMAs.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Php52.001-163 Support Region Remains Key
*RES 4: Php53.071 - High July 3 2006
*RES 3: Php52.940 - High July 25 2006
*RES 2: Php52.773 - 2018 High May 30
*RES 1: Php52.672 - Bollinger band top
*PRICE: Php52.490 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php52.163 - 55-DMA
*SUP 2: Php52.086 - Daily Bull channel base off 2018 Low
*SUP 3: Php52.056 - High May 10 now support
*SUP 4: Php52.001 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: The correction lower from recent 2018 highs is finding support
ahead of the 55-DMA and the Php52.001-163 support region where 55 &100-DMAs and
the bull channel base are noted. Bears need a close below the 100-DMA to shift
focus to Php51.392-715 where the 200-DMA is noted. Bulls continue to look for a
close above 2018 highs to return initial focus to Php52.940-53.071 last seen in
2006.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: 21-DMA Now Capping, 200-DMA Key
*RES 4: Thb32.39 - Low Jan 2 now support
*RES 3: Thb32.19 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Thb32.18 - High May 30
*RES 1: Thb32.01 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: Thb31.97 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb31.82 - Low May 28
*SUP 2: Thb31.75 - Low May 14
*SUP 3: Thb31.64 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Thb31.58 - Low May 3
*COMMENTARY: Hesitation ahead of the 200-DMA has left the pair looking a little
offered with focus back on the Thb31.75-82 support region. Bears now look for a
close below Thb31.75 to shift initial focus back to Thb31.53-64 where 55 &
100-DMAs are situated. Bulls now need a close above the 21-DMA to gain breathing
room and above the 200-DMA to shift immediate focus to Thb32.39-58 and overall
focus to Thb32.92.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Idr13965
*RES 4: Idr14080 - High May 28 now support
*RES 3: Idr14012 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: Idr13965 - Low May 30 now resistance
*RES 1: Idr13901 - 55-DMA
*PRICE: Idr13865 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13800 - High Mar 1 now support
*SUP 2: Idr13767 - 100-DMA
*SUP 3: Idr13730 - Low Mar 28
*SUP 4: Idr13688 - High Feb 22 now support
*COMMENTARY: The correction lower from 2018 highs continues with closes below
the 55-DMA adding weight to the case for a move back to Idr13688-767 where the
100-DMA is noted. Daily studies approaching O/S is less than ideal for bears. In
saying that, bulls now need a close above Idr13965 to gain breathing room and
above Idr14110 to return initial pressure to 2018 highs.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.