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MNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: ​BOJ Opinions Show Need To Mull Rate Hikes Cautiously

  • Yen has underperformed in the G10 FX space, with a cautious BoJ Summary of Opinions from the last policy meeting a headwind. JGB futures are holding in positive territory, +6 compared to settlement levels.
  • Tsys futures have reversed earlier gains and now trade near session lows although still well off the lows made overnight. U.S. Equity futures are little changed today. Investors remain cautious following headlines that Israel had begun “targeted ground raids” in southern Lebanon, escalating a campaign to root out Hezbollah. The US Dockworkers strike is also set to go ahead
  • Australian retail sales were better than expected, although other data was mixed. The A$ has outperformed JPY and NZD. RBA-dated OIS pricing sits 1-4bps firmer across meetings. Notably, pricing for 2025 meetings is now 2-4bps higher than pre-RBA levels on September 24.
  • Later today we have flash PMI, JOLTS and ISMs and more Fed speak from Bostic, Barkin and Cook in the US. Before that, EU final PMI prints and inflation prints are due.

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  • Yen has underperformed in the G10 FX space, with a cautious BoJ Summary of Opinions from the last policy meeting a headwind. JGB futures are holding in positive territory, +6 compared to settlement levels.
  • Tsys futures have reversed earlier gains and now trade near session lows although still well off the lows made overnight. U.S. Equity futures are little changed today. Investors remain cautious following headlines that Israel had begun “targeted ground raids” in southern Lebanon, escalating a campaign to root out Hezbollah. The US Dockworkers strike is also set to go ahead
  • Australian retail sales were better than expected, although other data was mixed. The A$ has outperformed JPY and NZD. RBA-dated OIS pricing sits 1-4bps firmer across meetings. Notably, pricing for 2025 meetings is now 2-4bps higher than pre-RBA levels on September 24.
  • Later today we have flash PMI, JOLTS and ISMs and more Fed speak from Bostic, Barkin and Cook in the US. Before that, EU final PMI prints and inflation prints are due.

MARKETS

Keep reading...Show less