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MNI INTERVIEW: Italy Northern Front Head Seeks Early Euro Exit

MNI (London)
--Salvini Seeks Revised EU Treaties, New Banking Rules, Flat Tax
--Populist Aims At Spearheading Centre-Right Coalition to Win Next Elections
By Silvia Marchetti
     ROME (MNI) - Matteo Salvini, leader of Italy's populist Northern League,
has pledged to push for a revision of all existing European treaties, for a flat
tax and an exit from euro if his party wins next year's general election.
     In an exclusive interview with Market News, Salvini announced that
"manoeuvres" are already underway with other centre-right parties to form a wide
coalition that would boost his chances of victory. The populist leader is
currently touring Italy to promote his electoral program and rally support.
     "The Northern League is in talks with former premier Silvio Berlusconi's
Forza Italia party and the minor Fratelli d'Italia group to join forces at the
upcoming elections. We are preparing a 3-party summit in early September to
discuss possible alliances," Salvini said.
     Italian voters will go to the polls March or April 2018. According to
polls, following recent victories in municipal elections, support for the
Northern League has risen to 15%, while Forza Italia is stuck at 14% and
Fratelli d'Italia, a former fascist party, at 4%.
     Salvini believes consensus for the centre-right will further grow to 40% in
coming months, as the Democrats of former premier Matteo Renzi appear to be on
the slide amid rising internal disagreement and waning poll support.
     Salvini, whose party was founded in 1994 as a small local northern group
supported by just 4% of voters, requires that all potential allies agree on all
points of his electoral program. His controversial agenda looks at major
overhauls in several areas and reforms adopted by previous governments.
     "We've already defined the pillars of our program. These are the
introduction of a 15% flat tax to tackle tax-dodging and raise state revenues, a
revision of pension reforms, the abolishment of Renzi's Jobs Act labour reform
which has turned out a disaster, and a new immigration policy that remains our
core battle," he said.
     The Northern League supported Berlusconi's various governments in the past,
but then often pulled out of alliances on various policy disagreements,
triggering political crises. The picture has changed now, as the Norther League
aims to be the senior coalition partner. In a 3-party centre-right government,
Salvini could hold the majority position.
     Salvini's agenda for government also contains a revision of all European
fiscal and banking rules, along with Italy's definite exit from the eurozone.
     "The Europe of today is at a crossroads. That's why it is essential to
revise all existing EU treaties, some which are 25 years old and badly need a
makeover to tackle the union's current challenges," he argued.
     Salvini wants to overcome not just the strict Fiscal Compact rule on public
debt reduction that binds all EU member states to reach the medium-term
objective (MTO) of a structural balance. He also wants to amend the Schengen
agreement and the Lisbon treaty, both of which in his view have damaged rather
than benefitted the European project.
     To exit the euro, he explained, no referendum would be needed but just a
unilateral move by Rome's government. Salvini has denied that leaving the
exclusive euro club could trigger a sovereign debt crisis in the country, even
though Italy faces a soaring public debt. It has the euro-zone's second-largest
in volume after Greece.
     "There will be no cataclysm, simply because two-thirds of Italy's debt are
in the hands of the Italian people anyway, so it wouldn't really change the
picture if we abandon the euro," he said.
     "It doesn't matter what we call our next currency. But we need to abandon
the euro fast," he warned.
     "The single currency will not have a long life. It is doomed to failure.
Therefore ditching the euro is an emergency exit decision, which could
paradoxically be taken even by Germany first. Berlin has so far gained the most
advantages from the eurozone, but maybe now it is no longer convenient for it to
stay,", Salvini argued.
     The new Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD), that has introduced
bail-in rescue rules as of this year, should also be abolished according to
Salvini.
     "The bail-in must be revised, it clashes with protecting savers and
bond-holders. Years ago we were the first party to vote against the new banking
rules, and today, even the government and the Bank of Italy finally realise the
negative aspects and call for a timely revision" of the BRRD, he added.
     On the hot topic of immigration, with Italy currently bearing the heaviest
burden among its peers, the Northern League leader has called for the
introduction of a fixed quota scheme for incoming migrants and for the transfer
of Italian boundaries "beyond the Mediterranean by putting up migrant
identification centres in North Africa".
     "Everyone has always defined our stances on immigration as extreme and
xenophobic, but we were just farsighted. Today, even Renzi calls for migrant
quotas and acknowledges that a hard line is needed if you want to avoid a
biblical invasion from Africa, which has already started," Salvini argues.
     Despite a weakening of the populist front across Europe following Marie Le
Pen's defeat in the French presidential elections and Geert Wilders' defeat in
the Netherlands, Salvini is confident that support for populism is far from
dying-out.
     "On the contrary, populism is the only force able to create an alternative,
better Europe and I am sure its consensus is set to grow among European voters
in the short-run," he said.
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$E$$$,M$I$$$,M$X$$$,MC$$$$,MI$$$$,MX$$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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