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Rise In LFS Unemployment Will Have Little Bearing On Norges Bank

NORWAY

The Norwegian LFS trend unemployment rate rose 0.1pp in February to 3.8%, after January's figure was revised 0.2pp lower to 3.7%.

  • However, this is not the unemployment rate that the Norges Bank forecast (the unemployment claims rate from NAV). That data is released tomorrow.
  • This data thus has little bearing on the outcome of today's Norges Bank meeting (0900GMT/1000CET).
  • Rates are unanimously expected to be left on hold at 4.50%.
  • Main interest will lie in the updated policy rate path projection within the March Monetary Policy Report.
  • For our full preview, see here.

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The Norwegian LFS trend unemployment rate rose 0.1pp in February to 3.8%, after January's figure was revised 0.2pp lower to 3.7%.

  • However, this is not the unemployment rate that the Norges Bank forecast (the unemployment claims rate from NAV). That data is released tomorrow.
  • This data thus has little bearing on the outcome of today's Norges Bank meeting (0900GMT/1000CET).
  • Rates are unanimously expected to be left on hold at 4.50%.
  • Main interest will lie in the updated policy rate path projection within the March Monetary Policy Report.
  • For our full preview, see here.