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**MNI POLICY:Fed Beige Book:Growth Moderate;Labor Mkts Tight>

--Five Things We Learned From the September 12 Beige Book
By Kevin Kastner and Harrison Clarke
     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book noted that the 
economy expanded at a moderate pace for most districts, a small upgrade 
from the "moderate or modest" growth language in the last Beige Book, 
but with three districts reporting "below average growth." Language on 
labor markets (still tight) and prices (still modest to moderate) were 
little changed.
     Here are the key points from the Beige Book compiled by the Federal 
Reserve Bank of New York on through August 31, 2018: 
     - The economy expanded at "a moderate pace" nationally, a slight 
upgrade from the "moderate or modest" characterization seen in the last 
Beige Book. However, three districts -- Philadelphia, St. Louis, and 
Kansas City -- reported "somewhat below average growth." Dallas was 
again the upside outlier, reporting "relative brisk growth." 
     - Prices of final goods and services were up at a "modest to 
moderate pace" across most regions, but the Beige Book did note "there 
were some signs of deceleration." All districts noted widespread input 
price gains, especially for construction, with tariffs adding to rising 
input costs that some are trying to pass to consumers. A few noted 
rising inflation expectations. 
     - The labor market remained tight, with most districts seeing 
"widespread shortages" for both higher-skilled and lower-skilled 
workers. Employment grew "modestly or moderately" across most of the 
country, but half the districts said labor shortages were holding back 
sales or projects. Wage growth was "modest to moderate," but there was
strong wage gains for sectors like construction where labor shortages 
exist.
     - Manufacturing grew at a moderate rate, though Richmond saw an 
activity decline. While businesses overall remained optimistic, most 
cited concerns about trade tensions and some noted businesses had scaled 
back or postpone capital spending as a result of the trade uncertainty. 
     - Consumer spending grew modestly and home construction was mixed, 
but home sales were softer due to reduced demand in some cases and 
reduced supply in others. 
     ** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 ** 
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$,MT$$$$,MMUFE$]

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