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Free Access**MNI POLICY:Fed Beige Book:Growth Moderate;Labor Mkts Tight>
--Five Things We Learned From the September 12 Beige Book
By Kevin Kastner and Harrison Clarke
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book noted that the
economy expanded at a moderate pace for most districts, a small upgrade
from the "moderate or modest" growth language in the last Beige Book,
but with three districts reporting "below average growth." Language on
labor markets (still tight) and prices (still modest to moderate) were
little changed.
Here are the key points from the Beige Book compiled by the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York on through August 31, 2018:
- The economy expanded at "a moderate pace" nationally, a slight
upgrade from the "moderate or modest" characterization seen in the last
Beige Book. However, three districts -- Philadelphia, St. Louis, and
Kansas City -- reported "somewhat below average growth." Dallas was
again the upside outlier, reporting "relative brisk growth."
- Prices of final goods and services were up at a "modest to
moderate pace" across most regions, but the Beige Book did note "there
were some signs of deceleration." All districts noted widespread input
price gains, especially for construction, with tariffs adding to rising
input costs that some are trying to pass to consumers. A few noted
rising inflation expectations.
- The labor market remained tight, with most districts seeing
"widespread shortages" for both higher-skilled and lower-skilled
workers. Employment grew "modestly or moderately" across most of the
country, but half the districts said labor shortages were holding back
sales or projects. Wage growth was "modest to moderate," but there was
strong wage gains for sectors like construction where labor shortages
exist.
- Manufacturing grew at a moderate rate, though Richmond saw an
activity decline. While businesses overall remained optimistic, most
cited concerns about trade tensions and some noted businesses had scaled
back or postpone capital spending as a result of the trade uncertainty.
- Consumer spending grew modestly and home construction was mixed,
but home sales were softer due to reduced demand in some cases and
reduced supply in others.
** MNI Washington Bureau: 202-371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDS$,M$U$$$,MAUDR$,MT$$$$,MMUFE$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.