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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 25 Nov-1 Dec
MNI POLICY: Fed's Logan: Corporate Bond Purchases Could End
By Evan Ryser
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The Fed's purchases of high rated corporate bonds and
corporate ETFs could slow to a halt if market conditions continue to improve,
Lorie Logan, the manager of the System Open Market Account at the New York Fed
said Wednesday.
She added that the Fed will adjust its Treasury and mortgage-backed
securities purchases as needed to ensure adequate liquidity without targeting
any particular level of yields.
Corporate spreads remain elevated, but "if conditions continue to improve,
Fed purchases could slow further, potentially reaching very low levels or
stopping entirely," Logan told a webinar hosted by the Securities Industry and
Financial Markets Association.
The Fed has purchased a total of USD10.7 billion in corporate bonds since
beginning purchases May 12. In the last week, the Fed's corporate bond purchases
have had a daily average of USD142 million, a pace that fell by roughly half
since June highs.
--'WILL REMAIN VIGILANT'
"It's fair to say that we've seen significant progress, and we've made
significant progress in terms of calming markets," she said.
"We will remain vigilant for signs of deterioration in market functioning
and flexible in adjusting our operations as needed," she added, referring to
Treasury and MBS purchases.
Logan pointed out in her prepared remarks that "Our assessment of market
functioning is focused on indicators of market liquidity and efficient prices --
not on the level of yields."
The Fed's emergency programs stand ready to support if downside risks do
materialize, she said.
-- BALANCE SHEET DECLINE
The central bank's balance sheet declined in recent weeks from roughly
USD7.2 trillion to USD6.9 trillion, as dollar liquidity swaps declined and the
use of the Fed's operations in the market for repurchase agreements, or repo,
dropped to zero for the first time in 10 months.
Logan called the decline in the Fed's repo book a "notable development" and
said the balance sheet drop is a sign of healthy markets.
Some have associated the Fed's balance sheet drop with a reduction in
policy accommodation. "I don't really see it that way," Logan said.
"What has driven that decline is the healing in the short-term funding
markets," she said. "If conditions should deteriorate then we would pick back
up."
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: evan.ryser@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$,MT$$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.