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MNI Political Risk Analysis - Argentina Election Preview

ARGENTINA
  • Argentina holds its general election on 22 October, with elections for the presidency and the Congress of the Argentine Nation taking place. The Argentinian economy remains in a state of turmoil, with inflation running at 138% y-o-y in September leading the central bank to raise the benchmark interest rate to 133%, and two in five Argentinians now living below the poverty line.
  • In this election preview we outline the voting system for both the presidential and legislative elections, list the presidential candidates and their respective political alliances, put together a chartpack of opinion polling and betting market data in the run-up to the vote, provide our own scenario analysis for the potential outcomes alongside assigned probabilities, and include select comments from sell-side analysts.
  • https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/files/56278/MNIPOLITICALRISKANALYSIS-ArgentinaElectionPreview.pdf

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