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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Spain PM Gambles On Snap Election

Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez's calling of a snap election for 23 July is a major risk for the incumbent, with opinion polls showing that a right-wing coalition involving the centre-right People's Party (PP) and the nationalist Vox could command a majority in the Congress of Deputies after the election. The election will garner significant attention from the wider European Union given that Spain assumes the six-month rotating presidency of the Council of the European Union on 1 July, with a potential change in government altering the nature of Spain’s presidential term.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS-Snap Election A Major Gamble For Spain PM.pdf

Chart 1. General Election Opinion Polling, % and 6-Poll Moving Average

Source: Data10, ElectoPanel, Simple Logica, GAD3, CIS, NC Report, SocioMetrica, InvyMark, MNI

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