MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 20-01-23

Executive Summary:

• The White House has downplayed the risk of a federal government debt default and continues to maintain that the White House will not negotiate with Republicans on government spending.
• Most political analysts consider the prospect of a default unthinkable, but the primary unknown right now is the extent to which a group of conservative House Republicans are willing to push Democrats on concessions.
• The Ukraine Contact Group meeting is underway at the US Ramstein Air Base in Germany with defence representatives from around 50 countries debating the pros and cons of dispatching main battle tanks to Ukraine.
• Freshman Republican House Rep George Santos (R-NY) is unlikely to face censure despite calls from Republicans and Democrats for him to resign.
• Poll of the Day: President Biden's approval rating sinks as the controversy surrounding his handling of classified documents bites with voters.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 20-01-23 .pdf