MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 22-03-23

Executive Summary:

• Former President Donald Trump's prediction of a Tuesday indictment came and went but Trump’s legal troubles continue to mount.
• Trump has six open investigations into his conduct before, during, and after assuming the presidency but analysts remain divided on the significance of a Trump indictment, should it come.
• House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) indicated yesterday that the GOP may take action against law enforcement officials seen as engaging in politically motivated investigations.
• Secretary of State Antony Blinken will testify before the Senate Appropriations Committee at 10:00 ET and the Senate Foreign Relations Committee at 14:30 ET on President Biden’s FY24 budget proposal.
• Senior Republicans have argued that the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank are evidence that a firmer line must be taken on government spending in debt ceiling negotiations.
• House Republicans are preparing to use their flagship energy package (HR1) as a messaging tool to attack Democrat energy policies which they claim have led to higher energy prices and undermined national security.
• The US has revised plans to transfer advanced M1-A2 Abrams tanks to Ukraine, and will instead fast-track the transfer of refurbished M1-A1 Abrams tanks.
• The US-Israel relationship continues to fray after a move to roll back legislation preventing settlement in Palestinian territories.
• Poll of the Day: Trump now holds an advantage over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL), amongst nearly every voting bloc.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 22-03-23 .pdf