MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 28-04-23

Executive Summary:

• There is no sign that the White House is changing tack on negotiating with House Republicans, despite the passage of GOP legislation to raise the debt ceiling. White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre: "We are not negotiating on this. We have been very clear it is their constitutional duty to take action.”
• White House National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan told a think tank in Washington DC yesterday that the US has no intention of "decoupling" from China.
• Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV), considered the most vulnerable incumbent in the 2024 Senate cycle, yesterday gave his firmest indication yet he will run for re-election. Manchin has been a persistent obstacle to the Democrat legislative agenda but is widely considered the only Democrat capable of retaining the crucial Senate seat in the red state.
• Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is “poised” to announce a White House bid as soon as mid-May.
• Former Vice President, Mike Pence, yesterday provided testimony to a grand jury investigating former President Donald Trump’s efforts to retain power following the 2020 presidential election.
• Poll of the Day: US voters are concerned that President Biden’s age may affect his ability to perform his duties for a second term.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 28-04-23 .pdf