MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Week Ahead 13-19 Jun

All timings subject to change.

Monday 13 June:

• United Kingdom: The UK government is set to present its Northern Ireland Protocol bill that will seek to disapply certain sections of the protocol under the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement. The government has stated that the legislation is required in order to ensure the proper operation of the Withdrawal Agreement, arguing that the protocol in its current form is not working properly, and to protect the Good Friday/Belfast Agreement. EU states that the UK government will be in breach of international law if the bill goes through and is implemented. EU-UK relations remain in the doldrums and there appears little prospect of a significant improvement.
• United States: Second public hearing of the House of Representatives committee investigation the 6 Jan riots at US Capitol. This session is aimed at showing that "Trump engaged in a massive effort to spread false and fraudulent information". The first public session, carried live on network television, garnered significant public attention. A third session of six in total scheduled for Wednesday 15 June, when focus turns to Trump’s efforts to replace the US Attorney General in order to have the DoJ promote his claims of election fraud.
• NATO:Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg meets with Swedish PM Magdalena Andersson. Sweden and Finland’s applications still being held up by Turkish objections. Over the weekend the Finnish government confirmed that it would not proceed with its own NATO application without Sweden being confirmed as members alongside them. Speaking to the FT, Stoltenberg stated that it is possible to address Ankara’s ‘legitimate’ concerns ‘within a reasonable time’.
• Germany:German-American Conference takes place in Berlin. Both Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Defence Minister Christine Lambrecht due to talk at the event.
• United Nations:50^th regular session of the UN Human Rights Council gets underway, continuing until 8 July. UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Michelle Bachelet set to present annual report. Focus on UNHRC’s comments on the war in Ukraine, but also on China and its alleged actions in Xinjiang province (Bachelet visited China recently), on Iran, Myanmar, and Sudan.
• Australia, Greece, Russia: Public holidays for Queen’s Birthday (Not QLD, WA), Orthodox Holy Spirit Monday, and Russia Day respectively.

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Week Ahead 13-19 Jun.pdf